Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Auda to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓66% · @1.80
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Auda vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Auda take on FK Liepaja on Tuesday 25 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Tukums 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Liepaja's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Grobiņa 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Auda 1–0 FK Liepaja. Across their last 3 meetings Auda have won 3, FK Liepaja 0, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Auda and 0.8 for FK Liepaja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 66%, draw 21%, FK Liepaja 14%.
Safer route: Auda or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Auda to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auda or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Auda 2–0 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.65
FK Liepaja14%fair 7.26 · @3.65
2.87Expected goals
2.05Auda xG
0.82FK Liepaja xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Auda 2.0 – 0.8 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Auda or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auda vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Auda have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FK Liepaja 14%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Auda vs FK Liepaja?
Auda vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
