Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
BFC Daugavpils to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.99
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
Ogre United host BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Ogre United are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ogre United's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Valmiera BSS 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Riga Mariners 3–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United. Across their last 2 meetings Ogre United have won 0, BFC Daugavpils 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Ogre United and 2.2 for BFC Daugavpils. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ogre United 12%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 65%.
Safer route: BFC Daugavpils or draw (88%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BFC Daugavpils to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ogre United 0–2 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ogre United12%fair 8.19 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.95
BFC Daugavpils65%fair 1.54 · @1.62
3.05Expected goals
0.88Ogre United xG
2.16BFC Daugavpils xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ogre United 0.9 – 2.2 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is BFC Daugavpils to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and BFC Daugavpils 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–2 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
