The Virsliga sees Super Nova take on Ogre United on Monday 6 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Jana Skredela stadions. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Tukums 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ogre United's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Ogre United 1–2 Super Nova.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Super Nova and 1.0 for Ogre United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 59%, draw 24%, Ogre United 17%.
Safer route: Super Nova or draw (83%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Super Nova 2–0 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.65
Ogre United17%fair 6.05 · @4.40
2.91Expected goals
1.95Super Nova xG
0.96Ogre United xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Super Nova 2.0 – 1.0 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs Ogre United?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ogre United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Super Nova vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
