Tukums travel to face Grobiņa in the Virsliga on Sunday 5 July (14:00 WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FS Jelgava 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tukums's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Super Nova 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Grobiņa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Grobiņa and 1.4 for Tukums. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 38%, draw 23%, Tukums 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Grobiņa 1–1 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Tukums39%fair 2.53 · @2.50
2.81Expected goals
1.39Grobiņa xG
1.43Tukums xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 1.4 – 1.4 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Tukums?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tukums 39%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Grobiņa vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
