Value bet: FS Jelgava to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.40
FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees FS Jelgava take on Grobiņa on Monday 29 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Super Nova 5–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Grobiņa's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Auda 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Grobiņa 0–0 FS Jelgava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for FS Jelgava and 0.8 for Grobiņa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: FS Jelgava to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1–0 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.25
Grobiņa20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
2.53Expected goals
1.69FS Jelgava xG
0.84Grobiņa xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.7 – 0.8 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grobiņa 20%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa?
FS Jelgava vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
