FS Jelgava host Ogre United in the Virsliga on Wednesday 17 June, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Auda 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ogre United's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Riga 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FS Jelgava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Ogre United 0–1 FS Jelgava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for FS Jelgava and 1.0 for Ogre United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 60%, draw 19%, Ogre United 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1–1 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.95
Ogre United20%fair 4.89 · @5.10
2.90Expected goals
1.91FS Jelgava xG
0.99Ogre United xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.9 – 1.0 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ogre United 20%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?
FS Jelgava vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
