Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓73% · @1.18
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa host Rīgas FS in the Virsliga on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Grobiņa are 8th with 29 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 60 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Grobiņa's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Ogre United 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Super Nova 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Grobiņa 0–1 Rīgas FS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.6 for Grobiņa and 2.3 for Rīgas FS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grobiņa 6%, draw 22%, Rīgas FS 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Grobiņa 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grobiņa6%fair 17.41 · @13.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @5.50
Rīgas FS73%fair 1.38 · @1.18
2.95Expected goals
0.63Grobiņa xG
2.31Rīgas FS xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–112%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Grobiņa 0.6 – 2.3 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers Grobiņa have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rīgas FS 73%.
How many goals will there be in Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is Grobiņa 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
