FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils travel to Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in the Virsliga on Sunday 31 May (14:00 WAT) to face FS Jelgava. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with FK Liepaja 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Auda 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FS Jelgava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 April 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 1–0 FS Jelgava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for FS Jelgava and 1.5 for BFC Daugavpils. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 35%, draw 21%, BFC Daugavpils 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
BFC Daugavpils44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
2.74Expected goals
1.28FS Jelgava xG
1.46BFC Daugavpils xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.3 – 1.5 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 44%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
