Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Auda to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Auda vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Auda take on FK Liepaja on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Rīgas FS 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
FK Liepaja's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat BFC Daugavpils 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished FK Liepaja 1–2 Auda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Auda and 1.1 for FK Liepaja. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 56%, draw 24%, FK Liepaja 20%.
Safer route: Auda or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Auda to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Auda or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Auda 1–1 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
FK Liepaja20%fair 4.88 · @3.25
3.10Expected goals
1.97Auda xG
1.13FK Liepaja xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Auda 2.0 – 1.1 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Auda or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Auda vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Auda have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Liepaja 20%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Auda 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Auda vs FK Liepaja?
Auda vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
