BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
BFC Daugavpils to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceBFC Daugavpils or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils host Ogre United in the Virsliga on Thursday 21 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadions Celtnieks. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ogre United sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ogre United's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to FK Liepaja 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 2–1 Ogre United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for BFC Daugavpils and 0.8 for Ogre United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 67%, draw 20%, Ogre United 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BFC Daugavpils to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Ogre United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.20
Ogre United14%fair 7.24 · @6.20
2.95Expected goals
2.17BFC Daugavpils xG
0.78Ogre United xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 2.2 – 0.8 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Our pick is BFC Daugavpils to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ogre United 14%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
