Super Nova travel to Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in the Virsliga on Wednesday 6 May (16:00 WAT) to face FS Jelgava. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Tukums 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Super Nova's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Auda 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Super Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Super Nova 1–1 FS Jelgava.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for FS Jelgava and 1.2 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 41%, draw 24%, Super Nova 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 1–1 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava41%fair 2.41 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Super Nova35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
2.58Expected goals
1.36FS Jelgava xG
1.22Super Nova xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 1.4 – 1.2 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Super Nova 35%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 1–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Super Nova?
FS Jelgava vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
