Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiga to win ✓67% · @1.35
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Riga vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction
The match
FK Liepaja travel to Skonto stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT) to face Riga. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Rīgas FS 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
FK Liepaja's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Grobiņa 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Riga and 1.0 for FK Liepaja. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 67%, draw 18%, FK Liepaja 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Riga 2–1 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga67%fair 1.49 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @4.60
FK Liepaja15%fair 6.73 · @7.00
3.42Expected goals
2.38Riga xG
1.04FK Liepaja xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 1.0 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✓
67%
1.49
1.35
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✗
45%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Riga – last 6
DWWWDW
28 Apr
@ Rīgas FS
3–3
D
22 Apr
vs Ogre United
4–0
W
18 Apr
@ Grobiņa
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Super Nova
4–1
W
9 Apr
vs Tukums
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Auda
2–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FK Liepaja – last 6
DWDLLW
28 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Super Nova
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Tukums
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Auda
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and FK Liepaja.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Riga vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Riga have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FK Liepaja 15%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Riga vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
