Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.54Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07
Auda vs Tukums preview and prediction
The match
Auda host Tukums in the Virsliga on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Auda are 3rd with 73 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 48 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Auda's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tukums's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with BFC Daugavpils 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Auda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Auda and 1.1 for Tukums. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auda 61%, draw 19%, Tukums 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.54.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.54. Predicted score: Auda 2–1 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auda61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.10
Tukums20%fair 5.01 · @4.90
3.11Expected goals
2.04Auda xG
1.07Tukums xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Auda 2.0 – 1.1 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Auda to win✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.54
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.54
Half-time result
Auda ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Auda / FT Auda✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.07
–
Form
Auda – last 6
WDLWWL
21 Apr
@ FS Jelgava
3–2
W
17 Apr
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs BFC Daugavpils
2–3
L
8 Apr
@ FK Liepaja
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Rīgas FS
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Riga
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tukums – last 6
DDLDDL
21 Apr
vs BFC Daugavpils
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs FK Liepaja
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Rīgas FS
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Riga
3–3
D
5 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auda and Tukums.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Auda vs Tukums?
On our numbers Auda have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tukums 20%.
How many goals will there be in Auda vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auda vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Auda 2–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Auda vs Tukums?
Auda vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
