Rīgas FS travel to Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs in the Virsliga on Wednesday 8 April (17:00 WAT) to face FS Jelgava. FS Jelgava are 7th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FS Jelgava's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Super Nova 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rīgas FS's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Auda 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.7 for FS Jelgava and 2.4 for Rīgas FS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FS Jelgava 8%, draw 19%, Rīgas FS 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rīgas FS to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FS Jelgava8%fair 12.85 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.40
Rīgas FS73%fair 1.36 · @1.22
3.13Expected goals
0.72FS Jelgava xG
2.41Rīgas FS xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.7 – 2.4 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
FS Jelgava – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
@ Super Nova
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tukums
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ FK Liepaja
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 3
LWW
4 Apr
vs Auda
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ FK Liepaja
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS.
What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rīgas FS 73%.
How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?
FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
