Grobiņa travel to face Tukums in the Virsliga on Sunday 5 April (14:00 WAT). Tukums are 9th with 25 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tukums's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Super Nova 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Tukums and 1.3 for Grobiņa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tukums 34%, draw 21%, Grobiņa 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tukums34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.35
Grobiņa45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
2.37Expected goals
1.07Tukums xG
1.30Grobiņa xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Tukums 1.1 – 1.3 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grobiņa to win✗
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grobiņa / FT Grobiņa✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Tukums – last 3
LDL
22 Mar
vs Super Nova
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ FS Jelgava
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grobiņa – last 2
WL
7 Mar
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tukums and Grobiņa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Tukums vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Tukums have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grobiņa 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tukums vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Tukums 1–1 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tukums vs Grobiņa?
Tukums vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
