Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
Rīgas FS travel to Daugavas stadions in the Virsliga on Friday 13 March (17:00 WAT) to face FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for FK Liepaja and 2.0 for Rīgas FS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 14%, draw 22%, Rīgas FS 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja14%fair 7.10 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.95
Rīgas FS64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
2.81Expected goals
0.82FK Liepaja xG
1.99Rīgas FS xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 0.8 – 2.0 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
FK Liepaja – last 1
W
27 Feb
vs FS Jelgava
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 1
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Rīgas FS.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rīgas FS 64%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
