Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norrland sees Skellefteå take on Umeå FC Akademi on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Skellefteå are 1st with 27 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Umeå FC Akademi sit 5th on 11 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Skellefteå's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Boden 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Umeå FC Akademi's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with IFK Umeå 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Skellefteå arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Skellefteå and 1.1 for Umeå FC Akademi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Skellefteå 65%, draw 19%, Umeå FC Akademi 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Skellefteå 2–1 Umeå FC Akademi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Skellefteå65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @5.20
Umeå FC Akademi16%fair 6.42 · @6.80
3.54Expected goals
2.42Skellefteå xG
1.12Umeå FC Akademi xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Skellefteå 2.4 – 1.1 Umeå FC Akademi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Skellefteå to win✓
65%
1.53
1.30
Double chance
Skellefteå or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.93
Half-time result
Skellefteå ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Skellefteå / FT Skellefteå✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Skellefteå – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Jun
@ Boden
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs IFK Umeå
3–0
W
3 Jun
@ Storfors
3–1
W
30 May
vs Täfteå
1–0
W
6 May
vs Boden
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Täfteå
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Umeå FC Akademi – last 4
DLWL
15 Jun
vs IFK Umeå
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Täfteå
0–3
L
6 May
@ IFK Umeå
4–1
W
2 May
vs Täfteå
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skellefteå and Umeå FC Akademi.
What is the prediction for Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
On our numbers Skellefteå have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Umeå FC Akademi 16%.
How many goals will there be in Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
Our predicted score is Skellefteå 2–1 Umeå FC Akademi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
