Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 59% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✓70% · @1.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norrland sees IFK Luleå take on IFK Umeå on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). IFK Luleå are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while IFK Umeå sit 7th on 4 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IFK Luleå's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Täfteå 1–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
IFK Umeå's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Storfors 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
IFK Luleå arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished IFK Umeå 1–2 IFK Luleå.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.6 for IFK Luleå and 1.1 for IFK Umeå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 59% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: IFK Luleå 2–1 IFK Umeå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Luleå70%fair 1.43 · @1.10
Draw15%fair 6.73 · @7.00
IFK Umeå15%fair 6.54 · @21.00
3.68Expected goals
2.57IFK Luleå xG
1.11IFK Umeå xG
59%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 2.6 – 1.1 IFK Umeå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 15% and IFK Umeå 15%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 2–1 IFK Umeå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
