The Division 2 Norrland sees IFK Umeå take on Boden on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). IFK Umeå are 7th with 4 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Boden sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
IFK Umeå's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Storfors 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Boden's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with IFK Luleå 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Boden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for IFK Umeå and 2.3 for Boden. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Umeå 11%, draw 18%, Boden 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boden to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: IFK Umeå 0–2 Boden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Umeå11%fair 8.87 · @6.75
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.40
Boden70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
3.12Expected goals
0.82IFK Umeå xG
2.30Boden xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: IFK Umeå 0.8 – 2.3 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boden to win
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Boden or draw
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.57
Half-time result
Boden ahead at half-time
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boden / FT Boden
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2
12%
8.53
–
Form
IFK Umeå – last 3
LLL
17 May
@ Storfors
1–3
L
6 May
vs Umeå FC Akademi
1–4
L
18 Apr
vs IFK Luleå
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Boden – last 3
DLW
10 May
@ IFK Luleå
1–1
D
6 May
@ Skellefteå
0–2
L
1 May
vs Storfors
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Umeå and Boden.
Our pick is Boden to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win IFK Umeå vs Boden?
On our numbers IFK Umeå have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Boden 70%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Umeå vs Boden?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Umeå vs Boden?
Our predicted score is IFK Umeå 0–2 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is IFK Umeå vs Boden?
IFK Umeå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
