Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✗66% · @1.68
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05
IFK Luleå vs Boden preview and prediction
The match
IFK Luleå host Boden in the Division 2 Norrland on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). IFK Luleå are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Boden sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for IFK Luleå and 0.9 for Boden. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Luleå 66%, draw 20%, Boden 14%.
Safer route: IFK Luleå or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IFK Luleå to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: IFK Luleå 2–0 Boden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Luleå66%fair 1.51 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
Boden14%fair 7.15 · @4.10
3.06Expected goals
2.17IFK Luleå xG
0.89Boden xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 2.2 – 0.9 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Luleå to win✗
66%
1.51
1.68 ▲
Double chance
IFK Luleå or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Half-time result
IFK Luleå ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Luleå / FT IFK Luleå✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
IFK Luleå – last 2
WW
6 May
@ Storfors
5–1
W
18 Apr
@ IFK Umeå
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Boden – last 2
LW
6 May
@ Skellefteå
0–2
L
1 May
vs Storfors
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Luleå and Boden.
Our pick is IFK Luleå to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs Boden?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Boden 14%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs Boden?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs Boden?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 2–0 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs Boden?
IFK Luleå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
