Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém preview and prediction
The match
CF Os Belenenses host União Santarém in the Liga 3 on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). CF Os Belenenses are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CF Os Belenenses's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Trofense 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
União Santarém's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Academica 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for CF Os Belenenses and 0.6 for União Santarém. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Os Belenenses65%fair 1.54 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.95
União Santarém13%fair 7.79 · @6.40
2.42Expected goals
1.78CF Os Belenenses xG
0.64União Santarém xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.8 – 0.6 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Double chance
CF Os Belenenses or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
CF Os Belenenses ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
CF Os Belenenses – last 3
WLD
3 Apr
@ Trofense
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Amarante
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guimaraes B
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
União Santarém – last 5
DDLWL
26 Apr
vs Academica
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Guimaraes B
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Mafra
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs Mafra
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Guimaraes B
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Os Belenenses and União Santarém.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and União Santarém 13%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém?
CF Os Belenenses vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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