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Liga 3 · Portugal
Sat 14 Feb 2026

Trofense vs União Santarém prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Trofense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95

6/10Rating
1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTrofense to win63% · @1.95
Double chanceTrofense or draw85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.01

Trofense vs União Santarém preview and prediction

The match

União Santarém travel to face Trofense in the Liga 3 on Saturday 14 February (18:00 WAT). Trofense are 10th with 5 points from 9 games (in the top half), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Trofense and 0.5 for União Santarém. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Trofense to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trofense 1–0 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Trofense63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.90
União Santarém15%fair 6.90 · @3.80
2.01Expected goals
1.49Trofense xG
0.52União Santarém xG
38%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Trofense 1.5 – 0.5 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrofense to win63%1.601.95 ▲
Double chanceTrofense or draw85%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals60%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals86%1.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trofense / FT Trofense37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020%5.01–

Form

Trofense

No recent results on record.

União Santarém

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trofense and União Santarém.

Trofense vs União Santarém head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trofense vs União Santarém?

Our pick is Trofense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Trofense vs União Santarém?

On our numbers Trofense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and União Santarém 15%.

How many goals will there be in Trofense vs União Santarém?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trofense vs União Santarém?

Our predicted score is Trofense 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Trofense vs União Santarém?

Trofense vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.