Value bet: IA Akranes to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIA Akranes to win ✓42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.83
IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
The League Cup sees IA Akranes take on Valur Reykjavik on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.2 for IA Akranes and 1.7 for Valur Reykjavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: IA Akranes 42%, draw 22%, Valur Reykjavik 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Value angle: IA Akranes to win at 2.65 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IA Akranes42%fair 2.39 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
Valur Reykjavik36%fair 2.75 · @2.15
3.83Expected goals
2.15IA Akranes xG
1.67Valur Reykjavik xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: IA Akranes 2.2 – 1.7 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IA Akranes to win✓
42%
2.39
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Half-time result
IA Akranes ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IA Akranes / FT IA Akranes✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.83
–
Form
IA Akranes
No recent results on record.
Valur Reykjavik – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Afturelding
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IA Akranes and Valur Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers IA Akranes have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valur Reykjavik 36%.
How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is IA Akranes 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik?
IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik (League Cup) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
League Cup · Iceland
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