Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Nzoia Sugar to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNzoia Sugar to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceNzoia Sugar or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.56
Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo preview and prediction
The match
Nzoia Sugar host Darajani Gogo in the Super League on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Nzoia Sugar's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to MOFA 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Darajani Gogo's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Fortune Sacco 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nzoia Sugar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Nzoia Sugar and 0.4 for Darajani Gogo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Nzoia Sugar to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nzoia Sugar 1–0 Darajani Gogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nzoia Sugar68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Darajani Gogo10%fair 10.07 · @5.50
1.97Expected goals
1.57Nzoia Sugar xG
0.40Darajani Gogo xG
37%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nzoia Sugar 1.6 – 0.4 Darajani Gogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nzoia Sugar to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Nzoia Sugar or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nzoia Sugar / FT Nzoia Sugar✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.56
–
Form
Nzoia Sugar – last 5
LWDWL
4 Apr
vs MOFA
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Kisumu All Stars
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Nairobi City Stars
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Vihiga United FC
4–0
W
15 Feb
vs Gucha Stars
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Darajani Gogo – last 6
LDLLLL
5 Apr
@ Fortune Sacco
0–4
L
21 Mar
vs 3K
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Talanta
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Kibera Black Stars
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Migori Youth
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mombasa Elite
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nzoia Sugar and Darajani Gogo.
What is the prediction for Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
Our pick is Nzoia Sugar to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
On our numbers Nzoia Sugar have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Darajani Gogo 10%.
How many goals will there be in Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
Our predicted score is Nzoia Sugar 1–0 Darajani Gogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.