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Super League · Kenya
2–0
FT

Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Nzoia Sugar to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNzoia Sugar to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceNzoia Sugar or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.56

Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo preview and prediction

The match

Nzoia Sugar host Darajani Gogo in the Super League on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Nzoia Sugar's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to MOFA 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Darajani Gogo's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Fortune Sacco 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Nzoia Sugar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Nzoia Sugar and 0.4 for Darajani Gogo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Nzoia Sugar to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nzoia Sugar 1–0 Darajani Gogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nzoia Sugar68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Darajani Gogo10%fair 10.07 · @5.50
1.97Expected goals
1.57Nzoia Sugar xG
0.40Darajani Gogo xG
37%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Nzoia Sugar 1.6 – 0.4 Darajani Gogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNzoia Sugar to win ✓68%1.481.57 ▲
Double chanceNzoia Sugar or draw ✓90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓63%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nzoia Sugar / FT Nzoia Sugar ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.56–

Form

Nzoia Sugar – last 5

LWDWL
4 Aprvs MOFA0–2L
8 Mar@ Kisumu All Stars1–0W
1 Marvs Nairobi City Stars0–0D
20 Feb@ Vihiga United FC4–0W
15 Febvs Gucha Stars0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Darajani Gogo – last 6

LDLLLL
5 Apr@ Fortune Sacco0–4L
21 Marvs 3K1–1D
14 Mar@ Talanta0–1L
7 Marvs Kibera Black Stars0–1L
1 Mar@ Migori Youth1–2L
20 Febvs Mombasa Elite1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nzoia Sugar and Darajani Gogo.

Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sofapaka000000
2Nairobi City Stars000000
3Kariobangi Sharks000000
4Nzoia Sugar000000
5Naivas000000
6Kibera Black Stars000000
7Talanta000000
8Kisumu All Stars000000
9Fortune Sacco000000
10Soy United000000
11Equity Bank000000
12Luanda Villa000000
13MOFA000000
14Kibera Soccer000000
15Kabati Youth FC000000
16Gucha Stars000000
17Mfalme000000
18Kiminini Combined000000
19BB FC000000
20Spitfire FC000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?

Our pick is Nzoia Sugar to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?

On our numbers Nzoia Sugar have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Darajani Gogo 10%.

How many goals will there be in Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?

Our predicted score is Nzoia Sugar 1–0 Darajani Gogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?

Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.