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Super League · Kenya
1–0
FT

Migori Youth vs Naivas prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMigori Youth to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceMigori Youth or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.35

Migori Youth vs Naivas preview and prediction

The match

The Super League sees Migori Youth take on Naivas on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Migori Youth's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Luanda Villa 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Migori Youth and 0.6 for Naivas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Migori Youth 1–0 Naivas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Migori Youth60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Naivas15%fair 6.65 · @4.50
2.08Expected goals
1.49Migori Youth xG
0.59Naivas xG
40%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Migori Youth 1.5 – 0.6 Naivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMigori Youth to win ✓60%1.671.73
Double chanceMigori Youth or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Migori Youth / FT Migori Youth ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19%5.35–

Form

Migori Youth – last 6

WLWWWL
5 Apr@ Luanda Villa3–0W
28 Mar@ Mwatate United0–1L
23 Marvs Talanta3–1W
15 Marvs Soy United3–2W
1 Marvs Darajani Gogo2–1W
22 Feb@ Gucha Stars0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Naivas – last 2

WD
28 Febvs Luanda Villa3–0W
14 Febvs Equity Bank1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Migori Youth and Naivas.

Migori Youth vs Naivas head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sofapaka000000
2Nairobi City Stars000000
3Kariobangi Sharks000000
4Nzoia Sugar000000
5Naivas000000
6Kibera Black Stars000000
7Talanta000000
8Kisumu All Stars000000
9Fortune Sacco000000
10Soy United000000
11Equity Bank000000
12Luanda Villa000000
13MOFA000000
14Kibera Soccer000000
15Kabati Youth FC000000
16Gucha Stars000000
17Mfalme000000
18Kiminini Combined000000
19BB FC000000
20Spitfire FC000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Migori Youth vs Naivas?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Migori Youth vs Naivas?

On our numbers Migori Youth have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naivas 15%.

How many goals will there be in Migori Youth vs Naivas?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Migori Youth vs Naivas?

Our predicted score is Migori Youth 1–0 Naivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Migori Youth vs Naivas?

Migori Youth vs Naivas (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.