Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Migori Youth or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Migori Youth to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMigori Youth to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceMigori Youth or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.70
Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth preview and prediction
The match
Migori Youth travel to face Luanda Villa in the Super League on Sunday 5 April (13:00 WAT).
Form guide
Luanda Villa's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Naivas 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Migori Youth's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Mwatate United 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Migori Youth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Luanda Villa and 1.5 for Migori Youth. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Luanda Villa 18%, draw 21%, Migori Youth 61%.
Safer route: Migori Youth or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Migori Youth to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Migori Youth or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Luanda Villa 0–1 Migori Youth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luanda Villa18%fair 5.51 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.10
Migori Youth61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
2.16Expected goals
0.64Luanda Villa xG
1.51Migori Youth xG
41%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Luanda Villa 0.6 – 1.5 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Migori Youth to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Migori Youth or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Migori Youth / FT Migori Youth✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.70
–
Form
Luanda Villa – last 3
LLL
28 Feb
@ Naivas
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Talanta
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ 3K
0–5
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
LWWWLW
28 Mar
@ Mwatate United
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Talanta
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Soy United
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Darajani Gogo
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Gucha Stars
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nairobi City Stars
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luanda Villa and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Migori Youth or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Luanda Villa have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Migori Youth 61%.
How many goals will there be in Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Luanda Villa 0–1 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth?
Luanda Villa vs Migori Youth (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Darajani Gogo0