Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMOFA to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA preview and prediction
The match
Nairobi City Stars host MOFA in the Super League on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Nairobi City Stars are 2nd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while MOFA sit 13th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nairobi City Stars's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Nzoia Sugar 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
MOFA's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Vihiga United FC 3–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
MOFA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Nairobi City Stars and 1.0 for MOFA. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi City Stars 36%, draw 26%, MOFA 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Nairobi City Stars 0–0 MOFA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi City Stars36%fair 2.74 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
MOFA38%fair 2.64 · @2.70
1.96Expected goals
0.97Nairobi City Stars xG
0.99MOFA xG
43%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.0 – 1.0 MOFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MOFA to win✗
38%
2.64
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Nairobi City Stars – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MOFA – last 3
WLW
21 Mar
vs Vihiga United FC
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ Mombasa Elite
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Fortune Sacco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and MOFA.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and MOFA 38%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 0–0 MOFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
