Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: 3K to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Result3K to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Gucha Stars vs 3K preview and prediction
The match
3K travel to face Gucha Stars in the Super League on Wednesday 25 March (11:00 WAT).
Form guide
Gucha Stars's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Soy United 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
3K's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Darajani Gogo 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Gucha Stars and 1.2 for 3K. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gucha Stars 33%, draw 22%, 3K 45%.
Value angle: 3K to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Gucha Stars 0–1 3K. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gucha Stars33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
3K45%fair 2.25 · @2.40
2.14Expected goals
0.96Gucha Stars xG
1.183K xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gucha Stars 1.0 – 1.2 3K expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
3K to win✓
45%
2.25
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 3K / FT 3K✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Gucha Stars – last 4
WLWW
22 Mar
vs Soy United
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Mwatate United
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Migori Youth
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nzoia Sugar
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
3K – last 3
DWW
21 Mar
@ Darajani Gogo
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Kisumu All Stars
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Luanda Villa
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gucha Stars and 3K.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Gucha Stars vs 3K?
On our numbers Gucha Stars have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 3K 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gucha Stars vs 3K?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gucha Stars vs 3K?
Our predicted score is Gucha Stars 0–1 3K, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gucha Stars vs 3K?
Gucha Stars vs 3K (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.