Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGucha Stars to win ✗41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars preview and prediction
The match
Mwatate United host Gucha Stars in the Super League on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Mwatate United and 1.2 for Gucha Stars. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mwatate United 35%, draw 24%, Gucha Stars 41%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Mwatate United 1–1 Gucha Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mwatate United35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Gucha Stars41%fair 2.45 · @2.55
2.29Expected goals
1.08Mwatate United xG
1.20Gucha Stars xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mwatate United 1.1 – 1.2 Gucha Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gucha Stars to win✗
41%
2.45
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gucha Stars / FT Gucha Stars✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Mwatate United – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Kabati Youth FC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Darajani Gogo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gucha Stars – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Migori Youth
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nzoia Sugar
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mwatate United and Gucha Stars.
What is the prediction for Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
On our numbers Mwatate United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gucha Stars 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
Our predicted score is Mwatate United 1–1 Gucha Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars?
Mwatate United vs Gucha Stars (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
