Value bet: MOFA to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMombasa Elite to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.77
Mombasa Elite vs MOFA preview and prediction
The match
MOFA travel to face Mombasa Elite in the Super League on Friday 27 February (12:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Mombasa Elite and 1.0 for MOFA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: MOFA to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mombasa Elite 1–1 MOFA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mombasa Elite46%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
MOFA32%fair 3.09 · @3.40
2.30Expected goals
1.28Mombasa Elite xG
1.02MOFA xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 1.3 – 1.0 MOFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mombasa Elite to win✓
46%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mombasa Elite / FT Mombasa Elite✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.77
–
Form
Mombasa Elite – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Darajani Gogo
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
MOFA – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Fortune Sacco
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and MOFA.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and MOFA 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
Our predicted score is Mombasa Elite 1–1 MOFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mombasa Elite vs MOFA?
Mombasa Elite vs MOFA (Super League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
