Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Fortune Sacco or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Fortune Sacco to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortune Sacco to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceFortune Sacco or draw ✗83% · @1.55
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.20
Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Nairobi City Stars take on Fortune Sacco on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Nairobi City Stars are 2nd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while Fortune Sacco sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Nairobi City Stars and 1.4 for Fortune Sacco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Fortune Sacco to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fortune Sacco or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nairobi City Stars 0–1 Fortune Sacco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi City Stars17%fair 6.03 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Fortune Sacco59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
2.00Expected goals
0.58Nairobi City Stars xG
1.42Fortune Sacco xG
38%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–214%
0–014%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 0.6 – 1.4 Fortune Sacco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortune Sacco to win✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Fortune Sacco or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.55 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortune Sacco / FT Fortune Sacco✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.20
–
Form
Nairobi City Stars – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fortune Sacco – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs MOFA
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and Fortune Sacco.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?
Our pick is Fortune Sacco or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortune Sacco 59%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 0–1 Fortune Sacco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco?
Nairobi City Stars vs Fortune Sacco (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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