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Super League · Kenya

Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United prediction & analysis

50%
Footrivo pick

Under 1.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.90Odds
2

Value bet: Soy United to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultKibera Black Stars to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.89

Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United preview and prediction

The match

Kibera Black Stars host Soy United in the Super League on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Kibera Black Stars are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Soy United sit 10th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Kibera Black Stars and 0.8 for Soy United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 79% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 1.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Kibera Black Stars 0–0 Soy United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kibera Black Stars38%fair 2.62 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.55
Soy United34%fair 2.92 · @3.45
1.58Expected goals
0.82Kibera Black Stars xG
0.76Soy United xG
39%Both score
21%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–021%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Kibera Black Stars 0.8 – 0.8 Soy United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKibera Black Stars to win ✓38%2.622.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.38
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓50%1.981.90
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.89–

Form

Kibera Black Stars

No recent results on record.

Soy United

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kibera Black Stars and Soy United.

Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sofapaka000000
2Nairobi City Stars000000
3Kariobangi Sharks000000
4Nzoia Sugar000000
5Naivas000000
6Kibera Black Stars000000
7Talanta000000
8Kisumu All Stars000000
9Fortune Sacco000000
10Soy United000000
11Equity Bank000000
12Luanda Villa000000
13MOFA000000
14Kibera Soccer000000
15Kabati Youth FC000000
16Gucha Stars000000
17Mfalme000000
18Kiminini Combined000000
19BB FC000000
20Spitfire FC000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United?

Our pick is Under 1.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United?

On our numbers Kibera Black Stars have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Soy United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United?

Our predicted score is Kibera Black Stars 0–0 Soy United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United?

Kibera Black Stars vs Soy United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.