Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: IR Reykjavik to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIR Reykjavik to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceIR Reykjavik or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R. preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Deild sees IR Reykjavik take on Leiknir R. on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
IR Reykjavik's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Völsungur 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Leiknir R.'s last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Njardvik 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
IR Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 June 2026, finished Leiknir R. 2–1 IR Reykjavik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for IR Reykjavik and 1.2 for Leiknir R.. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: IR Reykjavik 61%, draw 20%, Leiknir R. 19%.
Safer route: IR Reykjavik or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Value angle: IR Reykjavik to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IR Reykjavik or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: IR Reykjavik 2–1 Leiknir R.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IR Reykjavik61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.80
Leiknir R.19%fair 5.32 · @3.60
3.40Expected goals
2.23IR Reykjavik xG
1.17Leiknir R. xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: IR Reykjavik 2.2 – 1.2 Leiknir R. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
Our pick is IR Reykjavik or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
On our numbers IR Reykjavik have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Leiknir R. 19%.
How many goals will there be in IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
Our predicted score is IR Reykjavik 2–1 Leiknir R., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R.?
IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R. (1. Deild) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.