Value bet: Afturelding to win @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAfturelding to win ✓56% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Deild sees IR Reykjavik take on Afturelding on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT).
Form guide
IR Reykjavik's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Leiknir R. 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Afturelding's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Ægir 8–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Afturelding arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished IR Reykjavik 2–3 Afturelding.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.6 for IR Reykjavik and 2.5 for Afturelding. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IR Reykjavik 24%, draw 21%, Afturelding 56%.
Value angle: Afturelding to win at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: IR Reykjavik 1–2 Afturelding. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IR Reykjavik24%fair 4.24 · @3.05
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.75
Afturelding56%fair 1.80 · @1.93
4.10Expected goals
1.62IR Reykjavik xG
2.48Afturelding xG
61%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
1–17%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: IR Reykjavik 1.6 – 2.5 Afturelding expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
On our numbers IR Reykjavik have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Afturelding 56%.
How many goals will there be in IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
Our predicted score is IR Reykjavik 1–2 Afturelding, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding (1. Deild) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1. Deild · Iceland
Ægir2
Fylkir4
Grotta2
HK Kopavogur1
Njardvik1
Throttur Reykjavik0