Value bet: IR Reykjavik to win @ 1.74 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIR Reykjavik to win ✓62% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.89
IR Reykjavik vs Grotta preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Deild sees IR Reykjavik take on Grotta on Wednesday 17 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
IR Reykjavik's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Njardvik 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Grotta's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Fylkir 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Grotta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for IR Reykjavik and 1.5 for Grotta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IR Reykjavik 62%, draw 17%, Grotta 21%.
Value angle: IR Reykjavik to win at 1.74 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: IR Reykjavik 2–1 Grotta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IR Reykjavik62%fair 1.60 · @1.74
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @4.00
Grotta21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
4.10Expected goals
2.62IR Reykjavik xG
1.48Grotta xG
58%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: IR Reykjavik 2.6 – 1.5 Grotta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IR Reykjavik to win✓
62%
1.60
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Half-time result
IR Reykjavik ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IR Reykjavik / FT IR Reykjavik✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.89
–
Form
IR Reykjavik – last 6
LLLWLD
5 Jun
@ Njardvik
1–5
L
31 May
vs Vestri
0–1
L
27 May
@ Ægir
1–4
L
22 May
vs HK Kopavogur
3–1
W
18 May
@ Fylkir
1–2
L
8 May
vs Grindavik
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Grotta – last 6
DWWWLW
13 Jun
@ Fylkir
1–1
D
31 May
@ Njardvik
2–1
W
27 May
@ Throttur Reykjavik
3–2
W
23 May
vs Vestri
5–3
W
18 May
vs Afturelding
1–3
L
14 May
@ Vestri
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IR Reykjavik and Grotta.
What is the prediction for IR Reykjavik vs Grotta?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win IR Reykjavik vs Grotta?
On our numbers IR Reykjavik have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Grotta 21%.
How many goals will there be in IR Reykjavik vs Grotta?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IR Reykjavik vs Grotta?
Our predicted score is IR Reykjavik 2–1 Grotta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is IR Reykjavik vs Grotta?
IR Reykjavik vs Grotta (1. Deild) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1. Deild · Iceland
Grindavik0
Fylkir1
Vestri3
Ægir2