Value bet: Fylkir to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFylkir to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceFylkir or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Fylkir vs Vestri preview and prediction
The match
Vestri travel to face Fylkir in the 1. Deild on Monday 4 May (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Fylkir's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Fjardabyggd Leiknir 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vestri's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Vikingur Reykjavik 0–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Fylkir arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Fylkir and 0.8 for Vestri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fylkir 65%, draw 19%, Vestri 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Fylkir to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fylkir 2–0 Vestri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fylkir65%fair 1.53 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.60
Vestri16%fair 6.45 · @3.90
2.76Expected goals
1.95Fylkir xG
0.81Vestri xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fylkir 2.0 – 0.8 Vestri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fylkir to win✓
65%
1.53
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Fylkir or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Half-time result
Fylkir ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fylkir / FT Fylkir✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Fylkir – last 6
WWWWLW
2 Apr
vs Fjardabyggd Leiknir
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs KV
6–0
W
17 Mar
@ Thor Akureyri
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4–2
W
5 Mar
@ Throttur Reykjavik
0–3
L
14 Feb
@ Leiknir R.
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vestri – last 3
LLL
29 Mar
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–4
L
18 Feb
@ HK Kopavogur
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Keflavik
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fylkir and Vestri.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fylkir vs Vestri?
On our numbers Fylkir have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vestri 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fylkir vs Vestri?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fylkir vs Vestri?
Our predicted score is Fylkir 2–0 Vestri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fylkir vs Vestri?
Fylkir vs Vestri (1. Deild) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1. Deild · Iceland
