Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Throttur Reykjavik or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.12 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Throttur Reykjavik to win @ 1.60 – our chance 68% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultThrottur Reykjavik to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceThrottur Reykjavik or draw ✓89% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓74% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–2 ✗5% · fair 19.31
Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Deild sees Throttur Reykjavik take on IR Reykjavik on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT).
Form guide
Throttur Reykjavik's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.6 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IR Reykjavik's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Afturelding 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Throttur Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.5 goals: 4.3 for Throttur Reykjavik and 2.2 for IR Reykjavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 96% likely and both teams score in 74% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Throttur Reykjavik 68%, draw 21%, IR Reykjavik 11%.
Safer route: Throttur Reykjavik or draw (89%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (74%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Throttur Reykjavik to win at 1.60 – 68% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Throttur Reykjavik or draw – a 89% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.12, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Throttur Reykjavik 4–2 IR Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Throttur Reykjavik68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.00
IR Reykjavik11%fair 9.14 · @4.40
6.50Expected goals
4.27Throttur Reykjavik xG
2.23IR Reykjavik xG
74%Both score
96%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
4–25%
3–25%
4–15%
5–24%
3–14%
5–14%
From our goals model: Throttur Reykjavik 4.3 – 2.2 IR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Throttur Reykjavik to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Throttur Reykjavik or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Throttur Reykjavik ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Throttur Reykjavik / FT Throttur Reykjavik✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–2✗
5%
19.31
–
Form
Throttur Reykjavik – last 5
DWWLW
4 Apr
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–2
D
28 Mar
vs Vikingur Olafsiik
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Fylkir
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–3
L
13 Feb
vs Breidablik
4–0
W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
IR Reykjavik – last 3
LLW
29 Mar
vs Afturelding
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs Grindavik
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Throttur Reykjavik and IR Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?
Our pick is Throttur Reykjavik or draw with a 89% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?
On our numbers Throttur Reykjavik have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IR Reykjavik 11%.
How many goals will there be in Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?
We expect about 6.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 96% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Throttur Reykjavik 4–2 IR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.5 goals in total.
When is Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik?
Throttur Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik (1. Deild) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
1. Deild · Iceland
Grindavik0
Njardvik0
Afturelding0
Völsungur0
Grotta1
Leiknir R.2
HK Kopavogur2
Ægir1