Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarcílio Dias to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias preview and prediction
The match
The Catarinense 1 sees Carlos Renaux take on Marcílio Dias on Thursday 26 February, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Carlos Renaux and 1.3 for Marcílio Dias. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carlos Renaux 28%, draw 23%, Marcílio Dias 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Carlos Renaux 0–1 Marcílio Dias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carlos Renaux28%fair 3.60 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Marcílio Dias49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
2.26Expected goals
0.92Carlos Renaux xG
1.35Marcílio Dias xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Carlos Renaux 0.9 – 1.3 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marcílio Dias to win✗
49%
2.04
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marcílio Dias / FT Marcílio Dias✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Carlos Renaux – last 2
WL
19 Feb
vs Joinville
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Joinville
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Marcílio Dias – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Figueirense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carlos Renaux and Marcílio Dias.
What is the prediction for Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?
On our numbers Carlos Renaux have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marcílio Dias 49%.
How many goals will there be in Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?
Our predicted score is Carlos Renaux 0–1 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias?
Carlos Renaux vs Marcílio Dias (Catarinense 1) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Catarinense 1 · Brazil
