Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceNõmme United or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Trans Narva vs Nõmme United preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Trans Narva take on Nõmme United on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. Trans Narva are 10th with 23 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trans Narva's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Tammeka 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nõmme United's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Vaprus 4–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Nõmme United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Nõmme United 1–2 Trans Narva. Across their last 2 meetings Trans Narva have won 1, Nõmme United 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Trans Narva and 2.3 for Nõmme United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trans Narva 17%, draw 24%, Nõmme United 59%.
Safer route: Nõmme United or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nõmme United or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trans Narva 1–2 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trans Narva17%fair 5.84 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.70
Nõmme United59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
3.50Expected goals
1.21Trans Narva xG
2.29Nõmme United xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.2 – 2.3 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Nõmme United or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nõmme United 59%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–2 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Nõmme United?
Trans Narva vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
