Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Nõmme United vs Vaprus preview and prediction
The match
Vaprus travel to face Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga on Friday 23 October (17:00 WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Vaprus sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Vaprus's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Laagri 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Nõmme United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme United. Across their last 3 meetings Nõmme United have won 2, Vaprus 1, with 0 draws and 4.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Nõmme United and 1.7 for Vaprus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 46%, draw 19%, Vaprus 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Nõmme United 1–1 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Vaprus35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
3.59Expected goals
1.94Nõmme United xG
1.65Vaprus xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.9 – 1.7 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vaprus 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Nõmme United vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
