Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chancePaide or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.81
Paide vs Trans Narva preview and prediction
The match
Trans Narva travel to Paide linnastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 18 October (15:00 WAT) to face Paide. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Trans Narva sit 10th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 41 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Tammeka 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Trans Narva's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Kuressaare 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Trans Narva 1–1 Paide. Across their last 3 meetings Paide have won 1, Trans Narva 1, with 1 draw and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Paide and 0.9 for Trans Narva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 64%, draw 21%, Trans Narva 15%.
Safer route: Paide or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Paide 2–0 Trans Narva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Trans Narva15%fair 6.76 · @5.00
2.90Expected goals
2.03Paide xG
0.87Trans Narva xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paide 2.0 – 0.9 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Paide vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Paide have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trans Narva 15%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–0 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Trans Narva?
Paide vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
