Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Trans Narva to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrans Narva to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceTrans Narva or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Trans Narva take on Kuressaare on Wednesday 14 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. Trans Narva are 10th with 23 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trans Narva's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Vaprus 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kuressaare's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Flora Tallinn 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kuressaare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Kuressaare 3–1 Trans Narva. Across their last 3 meetings Trans Narva have won 0, Kuressaare 1, with 2 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Trans Narva and 0.9 for Kuressaare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trans Narva 61%, draw 20%, Kuressaare 19%.
Safer route: Trans Narva or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Trans Narva to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trans Narva or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trans Narva 1–0 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trans Narva61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.30
Kuressaare19%fair 5.27 · @3.30
2.88Expected goals
1.93Trans Narva xG
0.95Kuressaare xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.9 – 0.9 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
Our pick is Trans Narva or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kuressaare 19%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
