Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVaprus to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Vaprus vs Trans Narva preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Vaprus take on Trans Narva on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Parnu Rannastaadion. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Trans Narva sit 10th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vaprus's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Trans Narva's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with FC Levadia Tallinn 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Trans Narva 3–1 Vaprus. Across their last 2 meetings Vaprus have won 0, Trans Narva 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Vaprus and 1.5 for Trans Narva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vaprus 40%, draw 24%, Trans Narva 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vaprus40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Trans Narva36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
3.16Expected goals
1.62Vaprus xG
1.54Trans Narva xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vaprus 1.6 – 1.5 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trans Narva 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Vaprus vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
