Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chancePaide or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Nõmme United vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Nõmme United take on Paide on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Paide's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Vaprus 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Paide 4–1 Nõmme United. Across their last 3 meetings Nõmme United have won 0, Paide 3, with 0 draws and 4.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Nõmme United and 2.3 for Paide. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 19%, draw 19%, Paide 63%.
Safer route: Paide or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nõmme United 1–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United19%fair 5.37 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
Paide63%fair 1.60 · @1.62
3.41Expected goals
1.15Nõmme United xG
2.26Paide xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.2 – 2.3 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Paide?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paide 63%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Paide?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Paide?
Nõmme United vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
