Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus preview and prediction
The match
Flora Tallinn host Vaprus in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at A. Le Coq Arena. Flora Tallinn are 3rd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Vaprus sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flora Tallinn's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Nõmme United 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Vaprus's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Paide 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Flora Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Vaprus 1–2 Flora Tallinn. Across their last 2 meetings Flora Tallinn have won 2, Vaprus 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Flora Tallinn and 1.0 for Vaprus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flora Tallinn 66%, draw 19%, Vaprus 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flora Tallinn to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Flora Tallinn 2–0 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flora Tallinn66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.20
Vaprus15%fair 6.77 · @5.00
3.29Expected goals
2.29Flora Tallinn xG
1.00Vaprus xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flora Tallinn 2.3 – 1.0 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
Our pick is Flora Tallinn to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Flora Tallinn have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vaprus 15%.
How many goals will there be in Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Flora Tallinn 2–0 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus?
Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
