Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✗68% · @1.62
Double chancePaide or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Paide vs Laagri preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Paide take on Laagri on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Laagri sit 6th on 47 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Tammeka 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Laagri's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Vaprus 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Laagri 5–2 Paide. Across their last 3 meetings Paide have won 1, Laagri 1, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Paide and 0.8 for Laagri. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 68%, draw 19%, Laagri 13%.
Safer route: Paide or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paide 2–0 Laagri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide68%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.70
Laagri13%fair 7.58 · @4.50
3.00Expected goals
2.16Paide xG
0.84Laagri xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paide 2.2 – 0.8 Laagri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Paide vs Laagri?
On our numbers Paide have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Laagri 13%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Laagri?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Laagri?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–0 Laagri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Laagri?
Paide vs Laagri (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.