Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Nõmme United take on Flora Tallinn on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Flora Tallinn sit 3rd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Flora Tallinn's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Trans Narva 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished Flora Tallinn 1–2 Nõmme United. Across their last 4 meetings Nõmme United have won 1, Flora Tallinn 3, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for Nõmme United and 2.5 for Flora Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 13%, draw 19%, Flora Tallinn 68%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flora Tallinn to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme United 1–2 Flora Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United13%fair 7.87 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Flora Tallinn68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
3.59Expected goals
1.06Nõmme United xG
2.53Flora Tallinn xG
51%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.1 – 2.5 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is Flora Tallinn to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flora Tallinn 68%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
