Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LDLLW
1–0
FT

Vaprus vs Nõmme United prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVaprus to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21

Vaprus vs Nõmme United preview and prediction

The match

Nõmme United travel to Parnu Rannastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT) to face Vaprus. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Vaprus's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Nõmme United 2–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Nõmme United's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Vaprus 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Nõmme United 3–2 Vaprus. Across their last 2 meetings Vaprus have won 0, Nõmme United 2, with 0 draws and 6.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Vaprus and 1.8 for Nõmme United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vaprus 1–1 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vaprus42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Nõmme United35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
3.69Expected goals
1.93Vaprus xG
1.76Nõmme United xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.9 – 1.8 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaprus to win ✓42%2.382.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.501.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vaprus / FT Vaprus ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.21–

Form

Vaprus – last 6

LDLLWD
2 Sep@ Nõmme United2–3L
29 Aug@ Kuressaare2–2D
23 Augvs Flora Tallinn1–2L
16 Aug@ Kalju Nomme1–3L
12 Aug@ Phoenix5–0W
2 Augvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nõmme United – last 6

WLLWLL
2 Sepvs Vaprus3–2W
29 Augvs Laagri1–2L
23 Aug@ Paide1–4L
19 Aug@ Hiiumaa2–0W
14 Augvs Tammeka0–1L
9 Aug@ FC Levadia Tallinn0–5L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Nõmme United v Vaprus3–2
14 Mar 2026Nõmme United v Vaprus7–1
Vaprus vs Nõmme United head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nõmme United 35%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

Vaprus vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.