Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chancePaide or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Paide vs Nõmme United preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Paide take on Nõmme United on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Trans Narva 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nõmme United's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Hiiumaa 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Nõmme United 2–3 Paide. Across their last 2 meetings Paide have won 2, Nõmme United 0, with 0 draws and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Paide and 1.1 for Nõmme United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 65%, draw 21%, Nõmme United 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Paide 2–1 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.20
Nõmme United13%fair 7.48 · @5.80
3.49Expected goals
2.42Paide xG
1.07Nõmme United xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Paide 2.4 – 1.1 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paide vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Paide have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Nõmme United?
Paide vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
