Trans Narva host Paide in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. Trans Narva are 10th with 23 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 41 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trans Narva's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Kompanii Marjamaa 8–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Paide's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Rapid Vienna 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Trans Narva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Trans Narva 1–0 Paide. Across their last 2 meetings Trans Narva have won 1, Paide 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Trans Narva and 1.9 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trans Narva 23%, draw 19%, Paide 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Trans Narva 1–1 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trans Narva23%fair 4.33 · @3.65
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.65
Paide58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
2.92Expected goals
1.06Trans Narva xG
1.87Paide xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.1 – 1.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Paide?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paide 58%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Paide?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Paide?
Trans Narva vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
